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Bitcoin 2015 Outlook - Pretext for the Pre-halving Pump

2015 Bitcoin Crash Cycle - Last Leg Down & Accumulation

Bitcoin made a low on 14th January 2015, and has broken its 18 month downward trendline around June/July 2015. This marks the beginning of a new uptrend as we head into 2016, with news outlets ready to paint a bullish picture as the market requires new buyers to get into pump mode.

2015 Bitcoin September Fibonacci Fan & Trendlines

$BTCUSD began rallying up since breaking out of the 240-243 range on 6th October 2015, accompanied by a sustained large surge in volume since the last recent low of 25th August 2015.

#Bitcoin Breakout for #Gemini here we go! $BTCUSD @winklevoss pic.twitter.com/TMS8601d8g

— Alvin Lee (@onemanatatime) October 6, 2015

Accumulation has picked up pace since August 2015 and it looks like were heading to retest $300 for the 4th time since the 2015 Low (Related: TradingView - 3rd times the charm, right?).

2014-2015 Bitcoin Crash Cycle - Pump, Dump, Accumulation

$BTCUSD currently trading at $270/273. On Oct 6 it traded between $240 and $243 for less than a day before breaking up with good volume. If this breaks 300/318 convincingly, we could see a run up to 400-450. 300 is a key level of resistance which will in future act as strong support if we trade above $300. See the chart in greater detail on my tradingview post here.

On the downside, if we head to break $200 and retest $160, bullish scenario may be invalidated or delayed. 

Uncanny resemblance: $BTCUSD Aug 2013 & Oct 2015. #Bitcoin volume surges since last bottom. https://t.co/cezFNbOvpL pic.twitter.com/GiGNXCcHKT

— Alvin Lee (@onemanatatime) October 17, 2015

Crash Cycle Comparison - An Uncanny Resemblance

Bitcoin $BTCUSD Crash Cycle Comparison - 2013 April aka Cyprus

2013 July Last Low

2013 July+ Accumulation

Bitcoin $BTCUSD Crash Cycle Comparison - 2013 Last Dump before the $1200 Pump

2013 October Last Dump before the Pump

Bitcoin $BTCUSD Crash Cycle Comparison - 2015 Last Low before the Pre-Halving Pump

2015 Jan Last Low

2015+ Accumulation

2013 vs 2015 Bitcoin Crash Cycle Comparison - Launchpad

Who knows what 2016 could bring? Not too sure, but Im sure people will call it the "pre-halving" pump (and dump) anyway. What do you think? Are we ready for whats coming?

Id love to hear what you think, so share your thoughts or questions in the comments section below!

For more questions such as how to buy bitcoin or whats the best exchange to use, send me a direct email by using the contact form at the bottom of this page.

References